It is quite a stretch to say that the Tories “have a deal lined up to make a smooth exit from the EU”.
They have a withdrawal agreement which means that nothing changes in practice until the end of 2020 - I guess that is what the markets are reacting to. Compared with “we’re leaving in March, no - July, no October, no January” I guess 12months where they can get on with life is a welcome change.
But we have nothing concrete in place for the end of December next year - and despite the optimism of senior Tories that they will conclude a trade deal in that time, pretty much no-one on the EU side, nor any experienced trade negotiator seems to agree with them.
So we will either drop completely out of the EU without a deal at the end of 2020 or Johnson will be forced into more embarrassing U-turns, neither of which seem much use from the point of “stability”.
Typically I had been eyeing 1.12 as relatively stable and thinking “I ought to buy some more € before the £ tanks at the end of the year” at the beginning of the week but have been a bit too busy to organise it, looks like I waited too long.
I am having problems with the Halifax stopping my transfers through TransferWise. It’s getting critical , I have little money left in French account, and I have to make a deposit before end September. They don’t seem at all bothered , in fact it seems like excuses after excuses, the same demands to reset my password every time I try to sign, in, and wait for another security number to arrive in the post. it’s going round in circles. I am getting extremely worried
Thanks. Halifax say the only transaction I may make is a transfer to an account of a beneficiary already set up. The problem is they see me as a security risk with only my Bouygues number now that EE cut off my UK number as I don’t use it… I’m now waiting for the third security number in the post…